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Oil surges to its highest price since 2023, and stocks drop after U.S. jobs report
+715 words added -745 words removed
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The Associated Press
Michael Gagliano works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on Friday.
Economy The U.S. employers cut more jobs last month than they created and after oil prices spiked above $90 per barrel.
retailers made less money in January than economists expected. It raised the disconcerting possibility that spending by U.S. households, the main engine of the economy, may be stretched near its maximum.
The Fed cut its main interest rate several times last year and had indicated more were to come this year.
And the Fed's hands may be increasingly tied because spiking oil prices are pushing inflation higher due to disruptions for the energy industry.
A barrel of benchmark U.S.
Oil prices have surged, with Brent up from near $70 late last week, as the war has expanded and included areas critical to the production and movement of oil and gas in the Middle East.
To be sure, the U.S. stock market has a history of bouncing back relatively quickly following conflicts in the Middle East and elsewhere, as long as oil prices don't jump too high for too long.
economy pulling downward.
Smaller companies often feel the bite of high borrowing costs more because many need to borrow to grow. Smaller companies can also be more dependent on the strength of the U.S.
In stock markets abroad, indexes slumped in Europe following a better finish in Asia.
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− Seth Wenig/AP hide caption
NEW YORK — Oil prices touched their highest levels since 2023 after surging again Friday because of the Iran war, while a weak update on the U.S.
+ Seth Wenig/AP hide caption
NEW YORK — Oil shot to its highest price since 2023 after surging again Friday because of the Iran war, and a weak update on the U.S.
− job market highlighted the economy's precarious position. The two trends raised the risk of a worst-case scenario for financial markets, and stocks fell as they neared the finish of a punishing week.
+ job market knocked stocks lower to cap Wall Street's worst week since October.
− unexpectedly loses 92,000 jobs, adding to worries about the economy The S&P 500 dropped 1.1% after a report showed U.S.
+ unexpectedly loses 92,000 jobs, adding to worries about the economy The S&P 500 dropped 1.3% after a report showed U.S.
− It's a combination that investors hate because no one in the world has a good tool to fix both a weak economy and high inflation at the same time.
+ The combination of a weak economy and high inflation is a worst-case scenario for investors because the Federal Reserve has no good tool to fix both problems at the same time.
− The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 558 points, or 1.2%, as of 1:45 p.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.9% lower. Wall Street's moves are still erratic, though, given all the uncertainties created by the war. The Dow dropped as many as 945 points in the morning before roughly halving its loss.
+ The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged as many as 945 points before finishing with a loss of 453, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq composite sank 1.6%.
− Business No lawsuits required: U.S.
+ "You can't sugarcoat this report," according to Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth Management.
− Customs is working on a system to refund tariffs "You can't sugarcoat this report," according to Brian Jacobsen, chief economic strategist at Annex Wealth Management.
+ "A negative payrolls number combined with a big jump in oil prices will have traders worrying about stagflation risks."
Stagflation is what economists call the miserable mix of a stagnating economy with high inflation, and a separate report released Friday added to the sourness after showing that U.S.
− "A negative payrolls number combined with a big jump in oil prices will have traders worrying about stagflation risks."
Stagflation is what economists call a stagnating economy combined with high inflation, and a separate report released Friday added to the sour mix after showing that U.S.
− Usually when the economy is unsteady and the job market is weakening, the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates to give things a boost.
+ Business No lawsuits required: U.S.
− Lower rates can make it more affordable for households to get mortgages and companies to raise money to expand, while also helping prices for stocks and other investments.
+ Customs is working on a system to refund tariffs Economy Wall Street is betting on tariff refunds after Supreme Court ruling Usually when the economy is unsteady and the job market is weakening, the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates to give things a boost.
+ Lower rates can make it easier for households to get mortgages and for companies to raise money to expand, while also lifting prices for stocks and other investments.
− Economy Wall Street is betting on tariff refunds after Supreme Court ruling But lower interest rates can also make inflation worse.
+ But lower interest rates can also make inflation worse.
− The price for a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, shot up another 8.3% to $92.53 and briefly rose above $94 to touch its highest level since September 2023.
+ The price for a barrel of Brent crude, the international standard, leaped another 8.5% to settle at $92.69.
+ It briefly rose above $94 to touch its highest level since September 2023.
− crude jumped 12.5% to $91.12 and topped $90 per barrel for the first time since 2023.
+ crude breached the $90 level for the first time since 2023 and jumped 12.2% to $90.90.
− Much will depend on what happens with the Strait of Hormuz.
+ Much will depend on what happens with the Strait of Hormuz off Iran's coast, where roughly a fifth of the world's oil typically sails.
The U.S.
− Roughly a fifth of the world's oil typically sails through the narrow waterway off Iran's coast.
+ government gave details Friday about a plan President Trump announced earlier to offer insurance to ships crossing the strait, but it had little effect on the market.
− Business WATCH: How traffic dried up in the Strait of Hormuz since the Iran war began If oil prices spike further, like to $100 per barrel, and stay there, some analysts and investors say it could be too much for the global economy to withstand.
+ Loading...
+ The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz is "about as wrong as things could go" for global oil markets. Iran achieved it not with a naval blockade, but with cheap drones.
If oil prices spike further, like to $100 per barrel, and stay there, some analysts and investors say it could be too much for the global economy to withstand.
− Uncertainty about just how high oil prices will go this time around and how long they'll stay there has caused frenetic swings across financial markets this week, sometimes hour by hour.
+ Uncertainty about just how high oil prices will go this time around and for how long caused frenetic swings across financial markets this past week, sometimes hour by hour.
− On Monday, for example, the S&P 500 tumbled to an immediate 1.2% loss at the start of trading but made it all back and ended the day with a tiny gain.
+ On Monday, the S&P 500 tumbled to an immediate 1.2% loss at the start of trading but made it all back and ended the day with a tiny gain.
− President Trump's most recent signal on the war was that he wants an "unconditional surrender" of Iran, apparently ruling out negotiations.
+ Middle East conflict Middle East conflicts largely avoided energy facilities in the past. Not in this war Trump's most recent signal on the war was that he wants an "unconditional surrender" of Iran, apparently ruling out negotiations.
− Middle East conflict Israel strikes Beirut and Tehran as Trump demands Iran's 'unconditional surrender' Middle East conflict Middle East conflicts largely avoided energy facilities in the past.
+ In the bond market, Treasury yields wavered, with higher oil prices pushing upward on them and the discouraging updates on the U.S.
− Not in this war In the bond market, Treasury yields wavered, with oil prices pushing upward on them and the discouraging updates on the U.S.
− The yield on the 10-year Treasury initially rose toward 4.19% following the jobs report before pulling back to 4.11%.
+ The yield on the 10-year Treasury initially rose toward 4.19% before pulling back to 4.14%.
− That's down slightly from 4.13% late Thursday but still well above its 3.97% level from a week ago.
+ That's up from 4.13% late Thursday and just 3.97% a week earlier.
− economy than big multinational rivals, and the smallest stocks on Wall Street took the sharpest dives Friday.
+ economy for their profits than big multinational rivals, and the smallest stocks on Wall Street took Friday's sharpest dives.
− The Russell 2000 index of small stocks fell a market-leading 2%.
+ The Russell 2000 index of small stocks fell a market-leading 2.3%.
− Among the big companies in the S&P 500, companies with high fuel bills helped lead the way lower.
+ Middle East conflict Israel strikes Beirut and Tehran as Trump demands Iran's 'unconditional surrender' Among the big companies in the S&P 500, companies with high fuel bills helped lead the way lower.
− Old Dominion Freight Line sank 6.8%, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings fell 4.4% and Southwest Airlines lost 7.7%.
+ Old Dominion Freight Line sank 7.9%, cruise line Carnival fell 5% and Southwest Airlines lost 5.3%.
− Costco Wholesale was among the few stocks to rise.
+ All told, the S&P 500 fell 90.69 points to 6,740.02.
− It added 1.6% after reporting a stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. The retailer said the quarter benefited from a later Lunar New Year on this year's calendar, which gave a particularly big revenue boost to its warehouses outside the United States.
+ The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 453.19 to 47,501.55, and the Nasdaq composite sank 361.31 to 22,387.68.
− France's CAC 40 fell 0.7%, and Germany's DAX lost 0.9%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 1.7% and Japan's Nikkei 225 added 0.6%.
+ London's FTSE 100 fell 1.2%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 1.7%.
+ South Korea's Kospi was nearly unchanged after plunging 12.1% Wednesday for its worst loss in history and then rebounding 9.6% Thursday.